The Simple Side Morning Market Espresso
Wednesday, July 15: A shot of actionable financial news that doesn't break the bank.
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I had someone request the daily stock updates to include fundamental and technical analysis, so this will be added at the very end of the newsletter!
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Market Overview
S&P 500: 6,294.50 (▲ 0.17%)
Dow: 44,387.00 (▲ 0.32%)
Nasdaq: 23,063.75 (▲ 0.03%)
Key Indicators
10-Year Treasury: 4.48% (▼ 0.59%)
VIX: 17.38 (▼ 3.72%)
Gold: $3,344.00 (▼ 0.72%)
Oil: $65.88 (▲ 0.02%)
Bitcoin: $117,870.26 (▼ 1.64%)
Top News & Movers
Renault (RNSDF)
Shares fell 16% after slashing its 2025 guidance. Operating margin now forecast at 6.5% vs. 7%+ prior. CFO Minto named interim CEO as delayed billings and weak EU market pressure cash flow.
ASML Holding (ASML)
Crushed Q2 estimates with €5.90 EPS (+€0.75 beat) and €7.69B in revenue (▲ 24% YoY). FY25 net sales expected to rise 15%, highlighting strength in semiconductor equipment demand.
MP Materials (MP)
Stock soared 20% after Apple inked a $500M recycling partnership, including a $200M prepayment. The deal secures rare earth magnet supply, reducing reliance on China.
Rio Tinto (RIO)
Q2 iron ore shipments rebounded 13% from Q1. Full-year guidance intact but expected near lower end. U.S. tariffs on aluminum to cost ~$300M.
Ford (F)
Set to take a $570M Q2 charge after recalling nearly 700K vehicles over fuel leak risks. Fixes involve software updates and injector replacements.
Albertsons (ACI)
Raised FY25 identical sales growth outlook to 2%-2.75% on 25% e-commerce and 20% pharmacy growth. Tech and automation are key investment focuses.
J.B. Hunt (JBHT)
Launched a $100M cost-cutting plan to drive long-term margin expansion. Most savings expected to materialize by 2026.
Brighthouse Financial (BHF)
Shares popped 8% premarket on news of exclusive buyout talks with Aquarian. The deal may finalize in coming weeks.
General Motors (GM)
Shifting Escalade production from Texas to Michigan as part of a $4B U.S. investment program. Aims to ramp output for high-demand SUVs.
Exxon Mobil (XOM)
FTC denied Scott Sheffield’s petition to join Exxon’s board amid concerns about OPEC coordination. Ruling still under agency review.
Dollar Tree (DLTR)
Activist investor Mantle Ridge disclosed an 11.2% stake and is pushing for board/management shake-ups to unlock shareholder value.
AstraZeneca (AZN)
Experimental drug anselamimab failed key trial endpoints but showed promise in a patient subset. Full data review ongoing.
Healwell AI (HWAIF)
Prelim H1 2025 revenue jumped 200% YoY to $5M+. Also acquired the rest of Pentavere Research Group to accelerate commercialization.
PureTech Health (PRTC)
Appointed interim CEO Robert Lyne following the resignation of Bharatt Chowrira. Focus remains on strategic execution.
Fundamental & Technical Watchlist
Price: $58.22 | Change: +19.99% | Sector: Metals & Mining
Technical View
RSI(14): 83.20 – Overbought
EMA momentum extremely strong across 20/50/200-day
Support: $51.00 | Resistance: $60.50
Day Target: $59.90 — Consider scaling in only on pullback toward $55
Fundamental View
GF Score: 68
Still unprofitable, but Apple deal transforms long-term growth and strategic narrative. Expect valuation rerating as production milestones hit.
Price: $112.91 | Change: -0.89% | Sector: Oil & Gas
Technical View
RSI(14): 55.92 – Neutral
Golden Cross forming on EMA 20 vs 200
Support: $111 | Resistance: $115.50
Day Target: $114.20 on any oil strength or OPEC news
Fundamental View
GF Score: 79
Valuation attractive, high free cash flow. Board scrutiny may fade, but regulatory risk still a factor.
Price: $17.95 | Change: +0.85% | Sector: Biotechnology
Technical View
RSI(14): 50.41 – Flat momentum
MACD neutral
Price sitting just above all key SMAs and EMAs
Day Target: $18.20 — Needs breakout above $18.50 to regain trend
Fundamental View
GF Score: 57
New leadership signals possible pivot. Long pipeline runway, but high execution risk remains.
God bless.
-¢